Wikipedia:Eleventy-billion pool

This is a pool for predicting the date at which the number of articles (as defined by the official article count presented on the Special:statistics) in the English Wikipedia reaches 110,000,000,000 (eleventy billion). The person who comes closest to the actual date is the winner (of fame lasting eleventy billion years). The current number of articles in the English Wikipedia: 6,886,086.

The pool will be closed for entries on the day that the English Wikipedia reaches 100,000,000,000 (one hundred billion), so be sure to place your guess before that date. The pool opened shortly after the 500,000th article was created.

To enter the contest, enter your name under the appropriate month header below (create it if it doesn't exist), along with the date you predict. 12.00 UTC (noon) of each day is assumed, unless an exact time is specified (in UTC). Changing the prediction is allowed up until the date the pool closes.

Other milestone pools that are still open include the following: Wikipedia:Two-million pool and Wikipedia:Five-million pool.

For other non-serious pools, see Wikipedia:Millionth topic pool.

Never

• There is no such number as "eleventy billion". Georgia guy 22:34, 27 Mar 2005 (UTC)
  • Yes there is: eleventy = 110; billion = 1,000,000,000. So $eleventy\;billion=eleventy\times billion=110\times 1,000,000,000=110,000,000,000$ Guanaco 22:42, 27 Mar 2005 (UTC)

• We'll cease to be called Wikipedia long before this happens. -- Grunt 🇪🇺 22:44, 2005 Mar 27 (UTC)
  • We'll cease to be called anything long before this happens. BrokenSegue 03:06, 28 Mar 2005 (UTC)
    • I agree. Humanity may well cease to exist before this happens. Alex.tan 17:27, 4 October 2005 (UTC)

• Just like my vote on the 5,000,000 pool: the heat death of the sun will occur before this point.  ALKIVAR™ 20:23, 28 Mar 2005 (UTC)

• Tomorrow. -- Terabyte 08:56, Today (UTC)

• Long after we suffer the end of the world.--207.200.116.202 23:45, 3 Jun 2005 (UTC)

• Just like my vote on the five million pool: When boys start being named Sarah. HellRaiser 04:45, 15 Jun 2005 (UTC)

• That's not even a real number! --Alex Trebek 02:50, 3 August 2005 (UTC)
  • Yet! --Keanu Reeves 02:51, 3 August 2005 (UTC)
    • Yes it ruddy well is! Everyone's been saying its not, but $eleventy\;billion=eleventy\times billion=110\times 1,000,000,000=110,000,000,000$ eleventy = 110. See LotR. --Mark J 17:00, 7 September 2005 (UTC)

• I've never heard eleventy billion used, but the explanation seems plausible. It's unlikely there will ever be eleventy billion people. It could happen if we live in multiple solar systems, but relativistic physics would indicate an interstellar Wiki would be very slow and cumbersome. Granted that most topics are likely not people, but still it seems unlikely you could have more topics then there are people. So never.--T. Anthony 15:42, 26 September 2005 (UTC)

• Hah! None of you voting for 'Never' will win the pool! ;) Leffa 03:39, 12 December 2499 (UTC)

January 320,000 BC

• January 1. An awkward wormhole or time-warp will have catapulted us backward in time by then, owing to people messing with time travel - forcing us to live out the rest of our days as cavemen and orang-utan herders.

That won't stop us from continuing Wikipedia with sticks, leaves and old banana-skins, though. Nothing can stop human endeavour. That's really my guess. I'll be dead long before then (or should it be after then?) anyway, so it doesn't really matter.

PS. Can you inscribe something on my gravestone? Carry it back in time with you please. Hope this doesn't count as vandalism. Mark J 10:04, 6 November 2005 (UTC)

• I'm inclined to agree, but for different reasons. We won't be catapulted back in time, however, so many years will pass before this event that time will actually suffer a 128-bit overflow and revert to 4.5 billion years BC again. We might hit eleventy billion by the fourth time January 320,000BC passes, and most likely because we just miss it by one article after the third passing so Jimbo the -470th locks Wikipedia entirely until it comes about again. The Polish Wikipedians begin a universal revolution when they realise that at the moment it was locked for what was to be 9 billion years, someone had moved Gdansk back to Danzig. Chris talk back 02:10, 25 November 2005 (UTC)
  • What a brilliant little story!

31BC

• March 1 - Rolled a dice and it decided that this is when it would happen. I think it's broken. --Ben davison 11:23, 12 August 2005 (UTC)

3 AD

• π(pi)
• 3.14159 26535 89793 23846 26433 83279 50288 41971 69399 37510 58209 74944 59230 78164 06286 20899 86280 34826 34211 70679... - so the year 3 at that fraction of the year. It makes sense if you assume that time is eliptical.

The year twelvty four (124 AD)

• The 32nd day of the 13th month. Taco Deposit | Talk-o to Taco 19:43, Mar 29, 2005 (UTC)
  • Beware the ides of Smarch! -- Earl Andrew - talk 06:16, 24 Apr 2005 (UTC)

July 1509

• July 17. Time travel will have been invented by then. Xezbeth 19:55, Mar 29, 2005 (UTC)

September 2024

• September 22, definitely. ✏ OvenFresh² 20:16, 18 May 2005 (UTC)

Cheat! ;) Proto 12:49, 10 Jun 2005 (UTC)

Today is Hune 25, 2005. I win, you lost. SYSS Mouse 18:08, 25 Jun 2005 (UTC)

2006

• May. By then the schoolcruft stormtroopers will have had their way, and so by definition if every school deserves an article, someone will make an article on every church, restaurant, pub, street, duckpond, tree, stream, cloud, person, dog, supermarket and blade of grass in the world, to prove their WP:POINT. Proto 12:49, 10 Jun 2005 (UTC)

And squirrel colony. Those are notable too. Sango123 July 5, 2005 17:06 (UTC)

2010

• July 17. I just have a feeling. Staxringold 12:49, 3 November 2005 (UTC)

2012

• December 21. (Well, something big will happen that day.) The Wookieepedian 12:53, 12 November 2005 (UTC)

2020

August 17. Whereupon Wikipedia's vision will become perfect. Matt Yeager 07:06, 6 November 2005 (UTC)

2021

• July 11. This is based on simple math that Wikipedia multiplies in size by 1.002 every day. I have no life. Jared 12:11, 31 October 2005 (UTC)

2026

• On November 19 of 2026, when an article added on Proper punctuation of words describing Pokemon transsexual acts causes the size of Wikipedia to exceed the size of the web itself. This virtual paradox causes the universe to collapse into Wiki-singularity, thus making the number of articles infinite. --A D Monroe III 4 July 2005 00:08 (UTC)

2027

• November 1 of Year CE Twenty-Twenty-Seven. →Iñgōlemo← ^talk 01:32, 2005 May 22 (UTC)

2029

• October 7 - For my 40th birthday, I shall ask each resident of Earth to create at least 3 articles about how much they love me. Of course, this will be done via hypno-broadcast. Ryan 07:27, July 27, 2005 (UTC)

2030

• January 1 of Year CE Twenty-Twenteen. Hmib 02:59, 1 May 2005 (UTC)

2033

• May 18, 2033, at 09:33, soon after the election of Anthony Ivanoff as the President of the United States. --Anthony Ivanoff 10:53, 27 November 2005 (UTC)

2038

• January 1, ten years after Great Anglo-American War. --LW 15:02, 19 July 2005 (UTC)
• January 19 at 3:14:08. There's no connection between the number of articles and that problem, but I thought it was a cool time to set the prediction at. The number of articles will exceed eleventy-billion as self-replicating nanobots all start submitting vanity articles on themselves far faster than vfd can cope with.-gadfium 20:17, 7 May 2005 (UTC)
  • Nanobot vanity. That's the best one yet. I declare you the pre-winner. Nickptar 00:43, 8 May 2005 (UTC)
• May 2. We will have indexed every people that ever lived on Earth and therefore be well beyond that number. --Astrowob 20:03, 15 Apr 2005 (UTC)
  • Deletionists would never let that happen; Wikipedia is not an index of people. We'd delete just about everybody for non-notability, and then *a certain user other than me* will write eleventy billion articles about Ashlee Simpson. I'll agree with May 2, though. It's as good a date as any. --Idont Havaname 15:01, 21 Apr 2005 (UTC)
• September 3. A week after my 47th birthday. --Wombat2 14:57, 19 July 2005 (UTC)
• October 8. When I turn 50. Scott Gall 07:43, 2005 Apr 30 (UTC)

2050

• May 9. Seems like a good date. Mr Bound 03:28, Jun 12, 2005 (UTC)

2063

• Sometime in April, 2063, the Vulcans will download their version of Wikipedia, pushing the number of articles to just over eleventy-billion. (I wonder how many articles the Borg have?) Marky1981 17:21, 10 September 2005 (UTC)
  • Irrelevant. The Borg wouldn't add their information to Wikipedia, they'd add Wikipedia to their own databases, which would crash when one of the billion school stubs causes stack corruption, leading to the universe's second ever case of death by Pokemon (the first being during a tournament on Vega 4, when an ill-advised player insisted his Pepsimon trumped all, and accidentally ingested three of the many Pan-Galactic Gargleblasters thrown at it). Chris talk back 02:24, 25 November 2005 (UTC)

2076

• October 25. According to the growth rate model I normally use, the guess would be somewhere around the year 604700. I don't know if the human race as we know it will be around then, so I'm going for my 100th birthday. — JIP | Talk 08:54, 28 Mar 2005 (UTC)
• December 18 - Theshibboleth 07:53, 21 November 2005 (UTC)

2080

• November 24. Good notion, JIP. I'll bet on MY hundredth birthday (if I'm around then.) [[User:NazismIsntCool|Nazism isn't cool]] 07:46, 30 Apr 2005 (UTC)

2082

• July. If I'm not around then and I win, please etch it on my gravestone. Barely There 12:10, 5 Jun 2005 (UTC)

2100

• February 29. Some bright spark will try to add an entry (and a talk page) for every member of the human race.--Fangz 23:18, 27 Mar 2005 (UTC)
  • Now you're getting silly. We all know there will be no 29 February 2100! jguk 14:39, 16 July 2005 (UTC)

A.D. 2101

• Right after war begins. Andre (talk) 02:02, July 11, 2005 (UTC)
  • What you say! --A D Monroe III 03:48, 11 July 2005 (UTC)
    • All your article are belong to us. You are on the way to destruction. (NOT A VOTE) Ghost Freeman ^{T | E} / _{C | D} 19:03, 14 July 2005 (UTC)

2105

• June 24. Give me a century, and we'll see. — Sverdrup 00:25, 24 Jun 2005 (UTC)

2167

• April 1. Guanaco 20:52, 27 Mar 2005 (UTC)
• April 5 1231 UTC --Clawed 05:36, 24 Apr 2005 (UTC) (I might be dead by then so please etch something onto my gravestone If I win)

2-22-2222 22:22 CST

Hey, it COULD happen right then and there. Assuming nanotechnology guarantees my (clinical) immortality, I'll probably be living on the Exameter Road by then. (Not a ringworld, but a STRINGworld. A world that looks like a road from a distance, as it's a line that goes through space. Light years upon light years of space.) An artificial superstructure that this proposed superworld is would be made possible by the Technological Singularity, reached approximately 200 years previous. --Shultz 04:19, 6 December 2005 (UTC)

Stardate 62.896.7

• Comon! Where are all the trekkies? Sasquatch↔讲↔看 16:17, August 4, 2005 (UTC)
  • They all died of spontaneous head explosion at the moment of first contact on Stardate 4852.6. Chris talk back 02:26, 25 November 2005 (UTC)

2499

• December 12, 2499, when the Zerg invade.... bob rulz 12:01, Jun 21, 2005 (UTC)

In the year 2525

• If man were still alive. --Golbez 02:09, May 22, 2005 (UTC)
  • I already did that joke. -- Cyrius|✎ 03:17, 26 May 2005 (UTC)
• January 17 - if man is still alive, and if woman can survive, of course. -- Cyrius|✎ 01:01, 28 Mar 2005 (UTC)
• Volologravgradbjarskinoromovavichorrastip'orapenjiostamovichmovichtarooplimorrianostablooper-

rtegrintegratedeamoreaskiyiyiyiyuiyooeeiiyrastafariandumb (Date named in honour of alien emperor who saved Earth thirtyfive jonkeys before that.

2923

May 6. Current number of articles Falphin 21:32, 17 May 2005 (UTC)

2987

• September 9. My 1000th birthday... Jeremias Weinrich 14:37, 18 July 2005 (UTC)

2999

• December 31 - the precise moment Philip Fry becomes unfrozen. ;) Columbia 21:02, Jun 3, 2005 (UTC)

3141

• July 6 - approximately $\pi \times 1000$ A.D. --antilived ^{trash vandal results} 11:16, 22 October 2005 (UTC)

3200

sept. 26 - anon

4242

• April 2. 4/2/4242. Get it? I'm a riot. <_< -- Schnee (cheeks clone) 09:48, 12 Apr 2005 (UTC)

lol Bawolff 23:54, 1 October 2005 (UTC)

• 4 February, being the real 4/2/4242. Chris talk back 02:28, 25 November 2005 (UTC)

Leap Year 6174

• Leap September 17+13i in the Black Hole Year, where i² = -1. KittySaturn 13:52, July 17, 2005 (UTC)

8661

• July 4 Just before X-Day Mikeee 00:02, 18 November 2005 (UTC)

10,452

• January 3. The sand monsters of Sigma VII will complete humanity's work, just three years after eating the last one.

Eleventy thosand fifty-eleven (110,061 AD)

• 42 Septober. \Mike(z) 07:38, 26 Apr 2005 (UTC)

AD 202,917

• August 27 -- Earl Andrew - talk 06:14, 24 Apr 2005 (UTC)

AD 687,500

• 25 December -- Long after Homo Sapiens has stopped being the dominant species on Earth, and we are ruled by an intelligent race of rabbits (but long before McFly release a decent record). I worked out the year using the Windows Calculator and thought of the date as a nice Wikipedia Christmas present. Funnily enough, we'll find that most of the articles are based around the amusing acts of Homer Simpson in the 100 billion or so Simpsons episodes, or whatever his equivalent is at that time, and the rest will be about how rock music killed hip-hop as the rabbits have far superior musical tastes ;-). Andrew 12:09, 19 October 2005 (UTC)

802,701

• The year is surely obvious, the only question is the date. For that, I must resort to scientific analysis, which states that May 2 is the most likely. Pedriana 17:05, August 8, 2005 (UTC)

821,349

• October 1, undeniably. I have used the google calculator. --Amanaplanacanalpanama 08:35, 11 Jun 2005 (UTC)

Sepwebriat 14289, Year of the Hunted Carlisle (corresponds to AD 829,680)

• Jarvooliat 9, Month of the High Stile, Tyviatte 4441, Day of the Renditorive Hippopotamus - Weirdguy 02:09, 21 Jan 2001 (UTC)
  • You certainly are a weird guy.

830,061

• Unreasonableness the Ninetieth. --Welly20 14:52, 19 July 2005 (UTC)

9,814,072,356

• We have an article for the year 1000000000000, so something must happen then. --A D Monroe III 19:53, 19 July 2005 (UTC)

Drat. That article got deleted. Maybe I'll change to the year 46664. --A D Monroe III 22:13, 26 September 2005 (UTC)

Wait! We have an article on the year AD 9814072356 which survived AfD! Yes, the mid 98,140,724th century would be just about right. --A D Monroe III 01:03, 20 October 2005 (UTC)

Sometime in the distant future when we start using letters and punctuation to identify years, resulting in a year called "This stopped being funny a long time ago."

• June 20. KingTT 22:31, 27 Mar 2005 (UTC)
• When User:Rambot is used to create articles on every square foot of the U.S.
• Nine-Eleventy. According to a free online encyclopedia called 'Wikipedia' (I recommend it!): "75 million years ago, Xenu was the ruler of a Galactic Confederacy which consisted of 26 stars and 76 planets including Earth, which was then known as Teegeeack. The planets were overpopulated, each having on average 178 billion people." It's happened before and it could happen again, and with so many people, at least eleventy billion of them will be notable! — Trilobite (Talk) 07:07, 28 Mar 2005 (UTC)
  • Funniest answer yet. Gets my vote. Soo 13:24, 21 September 2005 (UTC)

3.98120938109238091280999945232794789075785854766576352414658791110009054...

• January 11. After too many years to count, the years will be uncountable and we'll be forced to number them with reals. Sometime afterward, we'll reach the eleventy billionth mark. — 131.230.133.185 23:35, 15 July 2005 (UTC) (guessed way back when IP addresses were enumerable).

Guesses with unspecified year

The 13th hour of the 13th day of the 13th month

• Lousy Smarch weather. sɪzlæk [ +t, +c ] 09:02, Apr 24, 2005 (UTC)

Tomorrow

• At 12:01 AM. Bart133 (t)

you stole my vote! Pretty funny tho, I think -mysekurity

Sometime after the Big Rip

• Smartech 16:35, 29 Mar 2005 (UTC)

<Insert date of creation of eleventy billionth article here>

I win :>) tommylommykins 20:54, August 5, 2005 (UTC)

• Me too. :-) Communism is Stupid 08:40, 10 August 2005 (UTC)

Long Ago In a Galaxy Far, Far Away

• Hooray! I lost. --Lyght 01:56, 30 September 2005 (UTC)

Exactly 2²⁰³ (two to the nineteenty-thirteenth) Planck times past Big Bang

(Early 9th eon CE)

• --Army1987 13:42, 10 October 2005 (UTC)
  • I've worked that out to be about 40,764,536,891.400057725569814620527 years :-). Andrew 12:00, 19 October 2005 (UTC)
    • No. 5.391×10⁻⁴⁴×2²⁰³/(86,400×365.2425) = 2.196×10¹⁰, about half your figure. --Army1987 15:14, 19 October 2005 (UTC)

When a certain event happens

When everyone gets cybernetic interfaces implanted in their skulls

• And I'll be first in line! Alphax ^τεχ 09:16, 28 Mar 2005 (UTC)
  • Too late for you. Unless of course you are in that clinical trial and you type with your mind. AngryParsley 20:32, 28 Mar 2005 (UTC)
    • Well, when they go on sale and are affordable, I'll get one. Alphax ^τεχ 17:20, 19 Apr 2005 (UTC)
    • I'll get one - if I'm still around. [[User:NazismIsntCool|Nazism isn't cool]] 08:49, 7 May 2005 (UTC)

When the Cubs win the World Series

Mark my words >_> NickBush24 July 3, 2005 03:39 (UTC)

When Duke Nukem Forever goes gold

I'm dead serious! >_> Ghost Freeman ^{T | E} / _{C | D} 21:23, 13 July 2005 (UTC)

When deafness is found to be just a state of mind

• Jesus Lover 05:30, 15 Jun 2005 (UTC)

When I become intelligent

See 'never'. The Kooky One 01:38, 8 September 2005 (UTC)

Cheese Related Mishaps

• When the world is wiped out by a big wheel of intergalactic cheese made by the cow who made the milky way. - RPharazon 01:30, August 13, 2005 (UTC)
• When a fleet of neutrino ships from a distant galaxy bombards everyone and everything in the galaxy with neutrinos, turning them all into Wensleydale cheese. This will be the end of civilisation, and will also by coincidence, be the date at which the Mega-Galactic-Wiki-Net reaches 'Eleventy Billion' (a Martian word which actually means 110,987,356,874,120,000,000,000). --86.130.16.45 14:17, 21 August 2005 (UTC)

When persons in the future start to discuss how the people of the 20th/21st century were able to predict what happened in one of their science fiction series

• (Or they complain somebody used time travel to go back and write the series, which is a gross distortion of what actually happened). Jackiespeel 17:38, 25 August 2005 (UTC)

When I Say So

When I become the dictator of the world and write an article on wikipedia for every letter combination up to the Eleventy-billionth article. Rentastrawberry 03:51, 18 September 2005 (UTC)

When the United States Department of Defense runs out of 7-letter acronyms for its projects and needs a new project-code for supplying the president's toilet paper

• (See Project ARNNRDAL (military)) Ojw 14:56, 25 September 2005 (UTC)

10 seconds before the Big Crunch

FireFox ^{T C} 14:01, 2 October 2005 (UTC)

When a bug-free version of Microsoft Excel is released

• I tried to get Excel to calculate the date for me based on current data and it crashed. Hence my guess -- Gurch 15:18, 22 November 2005 (UTC)

When Manchester City finally wins the Premiership again

• This may even be a bit of a stretch. --155.45.81.25 18:15, 23 November 2005 (UTC)

Shortly after Hell freezes over

• Give or take five minutes. --Carnildo 08:53, 1 December 2005 (UTC)

When my sister LAUGHS when I tickle her=

• "STOP TICKLING MY FEET!"
  • "Don't you EVER laugh when you get tickled?"
    • "I don't laugh when YOU do it!"

Ask her if she'll laugh when I tickle her. She calls me Chris. Ask who IS allowed to tickle her. Her email: snoopy_cutie_10@yahoo.com

--Shultz 04:27, 6 December 2005 (UTC)

When the World FINALLY runs out of beer!

I hate the fact that beer causes people to become violent, angry, rude, irresponsible, and apathetic. I hope at least non-alcoholic beer (or synthehol beer replaces it for good.)

Not actually guesses

Huh?

What's eleventy?

A word, apparently invented by Tolkien, for the number 110. --Army1987 16:10, 11 October 2005 (UTC)

Notability

With this many articles, will we still be rejecting some articles for people who are not notable enough? Stoive 03:01, 26 May 2005 (UTC)

In the future, everyone will be notable enough for a Wikipedia article for 15 minutes. -- Cyrius|✎ 00:59, 4 Jun 2005 (UTC)